Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 5.012142 5.557131 6.139750 6.809513 7.558925 8.372444 9.323553
2026-01-18 4.131724 4.885329 5.748293 6.812151 8.091955 9.586339 11.469970
2026-01-25 3.486212 4.343198 5.381170 6.736682 8.468680 10.618887 13.508062
2026-02-01 3.004774 3.910317 5.059895 6.636086 8.756199 11.530474 15.470615
2026-02-08 2.632980 3.556926 4.778229 6.524881 8.981843 12.348912 17.371366
2026-02-15 2.361168 3.296828 4.578720 6.482302 9.269787 13.252559 19.464533
2026-02-22 2.196748 3.161814 4.528389 6.629760 9.824331 14.570860 22.292657
2026-03-01 2.008627 2.970098 4.372226 6.596670 10.094274 15.478260 24.579566
2026-03-08 1.807708 2.738075 4.130982 6.403642 10.087362 15.942647 26.192784
2026-03-15 1.666607 2.582659 3.988867 6.345538 10.278502 16.726210 28.402325
2026-03-22 1.588235 2.517029 3.978329 6.493050 10.813043 18.116825 31.799830
2026-03-29 1.520800 2.462028 3.977980 6.653589 11.379373 19.609856 35.544085
2026-04-05 1.431156 2.365221 3.904248 6.688426 11.741442 20.802288 38.922949
2026-04-12 1.332012 2.244389 3.780151 6.623807 11.919245 21.681646 41.820133
2026-04-19 1.236705 2.122250 3.643303 6.522647 12.017631 22.420140 44.528308
2026-04-26 1.149680 2.007519 3.509651 6.413877 12.088235 23.108080 47.213148
2026-05-03 1.070559 1.900604 3.381053 6.301855 12.139029 23.757598 49.891848
2026-05-10 1.008383 1.819657 3.293101 6.258813 12.320074 24.683904 53.281467
2026-05-17 0.975784 1.790890 3.299465 6.399896 12.886844 26.463800 58.805241
2026-05-24 0.923848 1.721526 3.223076 6.367671 13.088073 27.485925 62.715393
2026-05-31 0.857936 1.620505 3.077850 6.181712 12.942612 27.735069 64.818885
2026-06-07 0.812205 1.555608 2.998600 6.125717 13.072694 28.607310 68.547400
2026-06-14 0.791123 1.538040 3.012324 6.267681 13.655272 30.570866 75.275003